TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

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40,345

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Italy vs. Türkiye
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Italy vs Türkiye?

Volume:
$1,730,946

Italy

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 6:39 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Italy

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$872,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ITA

View
99%
29%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$16,943
$261,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
1%
18%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$165
$14,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Italy vs. Türkiye)

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TUR

View
1%
12%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$217
$61,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Türkiye

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$464,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Italy will win their UEFA Nations League match against Türkiye on October 5, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of Italy winning is 100.0%, as forecast across Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the team lineups announced closer to October 5, 2026, as these will provide insight into each team’s strategy for the match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same resolution source hierarchy and define resolution based on the same 90-minute match timeframe, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Resolution source hierarchy: Official statistics -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> Consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Italy and Türkiye.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Italy and Türkiye.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Italy vs. Türkiye match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Predict. It provides a consensus view of potential outcomes, currently showing a total volume of $1,730,946 and a 24-hour volume of $1,559,412. By combining data from different sources, we aim to offer a more robust and informed prediction than any single market could provide. This allows users to see where the 'crowd' currently believes the outcome of the Italy vs. Türkiye match will land, based on real money trading.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals wagering their own capital, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in market participants. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into public sentiment and potential value.