TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Italy vs. France
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Italy vs. France?

Total volume:
$6,378
Volume 24h:
$2,795
178%
Liquidity:
$12,580
11%
Open interest:
$6,141
79%

France

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:21h:47m

France wins

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 53¢ buys you 189 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $189 | Net Profit: $89 Multiplier: 1.89x | ROI: 89% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

France

Trade
53%
3%
Yes 53¢No 49¢
2¢
N/A
$5,532
88%
N/A
$5,429
1w 2d 21h
Active
polymarket

France

Trade
51%
Yes 52¢No 51¢
3¢
$5,086
$133
3%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
52.9%
Yes 52.5¢No 50¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
28%
Yes 27¢No 76¢
3¢
N/A
$214
0%
N/A
$214
1w 2d 21h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Italy vs. France)

Trade
26%
2%
Yes 28¢No 76¢
4¢
$2,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28%
Yes 27¢No 76¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Italy

Trade
23%
Yes 23¢No 79¢
2¢
N/A
$498
67%
N/A
$498
1w 2d 21h
Active
polymarket

Italy

Trade
23%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
$4,553
$1
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23%
Yes 23.5¢No 79¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Italy vs. France UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets ask whether Italy will win, France will win, or the game will end in a draw, resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket has detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks explicit rules for these scenarios.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's rules could lead to a 'No' resolution even if a result occurs on the field, due to cancellation or abandonment within a specified timeframe. Kalshi's market is more directly tied to the on-field result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if Italy wins, 'No' otherwise. Includes extensive abandonment rules, resolving to 'No' if the game is canceled or doesn't start by Nov 14, 2026, and complex rules for abandoned games, potentially resolving based on official rulings or the result as played.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Italy wins, 'Yes' if France wins, or 'Yes' if it's a tie. No specific rules are provided for game cancellations or abandonment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and France, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Italy vs France professional UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Italy win, France win, or a tie. If Italy scores more goals than France by the end of regulation time, the Italy market resolves positively. Conversely, if France scores more goals, the France market resolves positively. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the Tie market resolves positively. No consideration is given to results from extra time or penalty shootouts. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event explicitly clarifies that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.