TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game between Italy and Belarus, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Italy vs. Belarus match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game between Italy and Belarus, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Italy vs. Belarus match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the final score. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes there’s value, or where sportsbooks may have a particular edge in their assessment of the game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news and updates, adjusting their positions and influencing the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest collective assessment of the likely final result.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Italy vs. Belarus match will determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing body of the competition. Any disputes regarding the official score will be addressed according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Italy or Belarus would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. Major tactical announcements from either team’s coach, or any pre-match analysis suggesting a surprising game plan, could also move the market. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of different exact scores has the potential to drive trading volume and price fluctuations.