TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Ōita Trinita vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Ōita Trinita vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC?

Total volume:
$1,787
Volume 24h:
$1,687N/A
Liquidity:
$28,426
170%
Open interest:
$1,674
100%

Oita

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 04h:41m:39s

Oita wins

45%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oita

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
N/A
$1,546
0%
N/A
$1,546
4h 41m
Active
polymarket

Ōita Trinita

Trade
44%
Yes 44¢No 57¢
1¢
$19,435
$113
13%
N/A
N/A
1h 41m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
44.9%
Yes 44.5¢No 56.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
31%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
N/A
$128
0%
N/A
$128
4h 41m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Ōita Trinita vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC)

Trade
31%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
$4,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1h 41m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Vanraure Hachinohe FC

Trade
26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$4,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1h 41m
Active
kalshi

Vanraure Hachinohe

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4h 41m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Ōita Trinita and Vanraure Hachinohe FC on November 3, 2026. Markets exist for Ōita Trinita winning, Vanraure Hachinohe FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between platforms; Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation criteria.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading, as Polymarket will resolve 'No' in that case, while Kalshi's outcome is uncertain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, and Sofascore as backup sources. Resolution within 24 hours, or 50/50 split if no data is available.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of what happens if the game is canceled. Relies on official J2 League results.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between Ōita Trinita and Vanraure Hachinohe FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Oita vs Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to each possible outcome: Oita win, Vanraure Hachinohe win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The resolution exclusively considers the result after normal time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the J2 League match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,787, with $1,687 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting the likelihood of different results for the Ōita Trinita versus Vanraure Hachinohe FC game. The dashboard provides a unified view of probabilities derived from both venues, offering a comprehensive assessment of expectations for this match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by real money being wagered. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making regarding the J2 League match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the J2 League. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Vanraure Hachinohe wins at 43.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Ōita Trinita winning at 45.0%. These variations highlight the independent price formation process on each platform, reflecting differing market interpretations of the upcoming match.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the J2 League match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the official results shortly after the match concludes, and the platform will verify the outcome against established sources. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ōita Trinita or Vanraure Hachinohe FC would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, have the potential to shift probabilities. Unexpected news regarding team ownership or management could also introduce volatility into this market.