TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Ōita Trinita vs. Albirex Niigata
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Ōita Trinita vs. Albirex Niigata?

Volume:
$45,472

Oita

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oita

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,502
N/A
N/A
$10,347
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ōita Trinita

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Albirex

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,065
N/A
N/A
$9,061
Settled
No
polymarket

Albirex Niigata

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,426
N/A
N/A
$7,438
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Ōita Trinita vs. Albirex Niigata)

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Ōita Trinita and Albirex Niigata on October 17, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same event (90 minutes + stoppage time) and share consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official J.League statistics (https://www.jleague.jp/en/)

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the 'Ōita Trinita win' and 'Albirex Niigata win' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official J.League statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, data from Flashscore will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the scheduled match time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Ōita Trinita and Albirex Niigata.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Oita vs Albirex professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes, while a tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, rely on the wisdom of the crowd, where prices are driven by actual wagers. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, the dynamic nature of this market can often reflect a more nuanced assessment of the likely outcome, potentially offering value to informed traders.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Ōita Trinita versus Albirex Niigata match. Trading fees and liquidity also play a role; lower liquidity on one platform can lead to wider spreads and more volatile price movements. Furthermore, differing market-making strategies and risk appetites among traders on each platform contribute to these price discrepancies. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit from price differences across venues.