TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Ōita Trinita and Albirex Niigata on October 17, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Ōita Trinita and Albirex Niigata.
The event resolves based on the result of the Oita vs Albirex professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes, while a tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Ōita Trinita versus Albirex Niigata match. Trading fees and liquidity also play a role; lower liquidity on one platform can lead to wider spreads and more volatile price movements. Furthermore, differing market-making strategies and risk appetites among traders on each platform contribute to these price discrepancies. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit from price differences across venues.