TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Istanbulspor AS and Mardin 1969 Spor, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets exist for Istanbulspor winning, Mardin winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on official match statistics.
This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between Istanbulspor AS and Mardin 1969 Spor.
The event resolves based on the result of the Istanbulspor vs Mardin professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Istanbulspor wins, the 'Istanbulspor' market resolves to Yes. If Mardin wins, the 'Mardin' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time counts.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Istanbulspor vs. Mardin match can stem from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific market mechanics and fee structures on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trader behavior and, consequently, the resulting prices. These factors contribute to the dynamic interplay of probabilities observed across these prediction markets.