TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:27 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Istanbulspor AS and Esenler Erokspor, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Istanbulspor AS" if Istanbulspor AS are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Esenler Erokspor" if Esenler Erokspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Istanbulspor AS and Esenler Erokspor, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Istanbulspor AS" if Istanbulspor AS are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Esenler Erokspor" if Esenler Erokspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect information and analysis not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing for a potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities as new information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites, the speed of information incorporation, and the incentives of participants. It’s common to see prediction market odds shift more rapidly in response to breaking news or changing sentiment than sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Istanbulspor AS will score first, for example, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Istanbulspor AS vs. Esenler Erokspor match. If neither team scores, that outcome will be considered the result. The platform will verify the result against official match data to determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Istanbulspor AS or Esenler Erokspor would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team’s offensive strengths could also drive movement in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.