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$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

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39,838

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Istanbulspor AS vs. Esenler Erokspor
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Istanbulspor AS vs. Esenler Erokspor?

Volume:
$16,366

Esenler

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 1:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Esenler

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,596
N/A
N/A
$5,472
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Esenler Erokspor

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Istanbulspor

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,209
N/A
N/A
$4,763
Settled
No
polymarket

Istanbulspor AS

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,955
N/A
N/A
$3,362
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Istanbulspor AS vs. Esenler Erokspor)

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a professional TFF 1. Lig soccer game between Istanbulspor AS and Esenler Erokspor scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets ask whether Istanbulspor AS will win, Esenler Erokspor will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same core event (90 minutes + stoppage time) and have consistent fallback procedures for data availability and game cancellation.Primary resolution logic: Official TFF (Turkish Football Federation) statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the official final result as recognized by the TFF.
  • If the official result is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used; if Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore; otherwise, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, the Istanbulspor/Esenler win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the game's conclusion, or sooner if official data is available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Istanbulspor AS and Esenler Erokspor.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Istanbulspor vs Esenler professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Istanbulspor market occurs if Istanbulspor wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Esenler market occurs if Esenler wins the match in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets exclusively consider the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and do not account for outcomes determined in extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation events.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a house edge, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when markets are liquid and attract informed traders. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in prediction markets, and vice versa. The efficiency of this market will be reflected in its volume.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence how odds are set. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $16,366 overall – isn’t necessarily distributed equally. Market makers and individual traders may have differing opinions and risk appetites on each venue, leading to discrepancies in the perceived probabilities of each outcome. These factors contribute to the price variations observed between Polymarket and Kalshi.