TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers markets related to a single NHL game between the New York Islanders and the Minnesota Wild on October 29th. Markets include a prediction on the winner of the game and over/under bets on the total number of goals scored.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 29 at 8:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 29 at 8:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources and identifying situations where one appears mispriced relative to the other.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to tighter spreads and more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market types offered—for example, over/under goals—may differ slightly between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how traders assess the probabilities. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance trends for either the Islanders or the Wild could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Furthermore, broader factors like weather conditions on game day or even public betting patterns observed in traditional sportsbooks could impact trading activity and move the price of this market. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential price movements.