TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers markets related to a single NHL game between the New York Islanders and the Toronto Maple Leafs on October 17th. Markets include a straight win/loss outcome and over/under goals totals at various thresholds.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, especially when there's significant public interest and active trading. The difference in odds can also stem from differing levels of information available to each.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Islanders-Maple Leafs game can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how quickly prices react to new information. These factors contribute to the possibility of price discrepancies even when both markets address the same underlying event.