TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Islanders vs. Hurricanes
Volume:
$591,218
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, the New York Islanders will face the Carolina Hurricanes in an NHL game. Markets are offered across multiple platforms covering: (1) the moneyline winner (Islanders vs. Hurricanes), and (2) various over/under totals for combined goals scored (ranging from 2.5 to 9.5 goals). All markets resolve based on the final official score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different resolution thresholds for over/under markets. Kalshi offers markets at 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals, while Polymarket offers markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 goals. Additionally, Kalshi's market descriptions state 'over X.5' resolves YES, but do not explicitly define the threshold trigger, whereas Polymarket clearly specifies the exact goal count required (e.g., 6 or more for O/U 5.5).Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi's 2.5 or 3.5 over/under markets, those outcomes have no equivalent on Polymarket, so your hedge options are limited. Conversely, Polymarket's moneyline and spread markets (Islanders vs. Hurricanes, Hurricanes -1.5, Hurricanes -2.5, Islanders -1.5) have no direct Kalshi equivalents. For overlapping over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), verify the exact goal count trigger before arbitraging, as wording differences could affect edge cases near the threshold.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers eight over/under markets at thresholds of 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals. The market descriptions state 'If over X.5 total combined goals are scored... then the market resolves to Yes' but do not explicitly specify the minimum goal count required (e.g., whether 'over 5.5' means 6 or more goals). Kalshi also provides no moneyline or spread markets.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four over/under markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 goals, each with explicit resolution thresholds (e.g., 'Over' if 6 or more goals for O/U 5.5, 'Under' if less than 6). Polymarket also includes a moneyline market (Islanders vs. Hurricanes) and three spread markets (Hurricanes -1.5, Islanders -1.5, Hurricanes -2.5), with detailed handling of postponement, cancellation, overtime, and shootout scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.