TOTAL VOLUME:
$138.5b
24H VOL:
$107,983,626
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,511,311,155
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,548,874,187
473,242
Markets across
36,541
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,900
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 7:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Steven Fisk will win the 2026 ISCO Championship, a professional golf tournament decided by the lowest score across designated rounds of play. On Kalshi, the probability of Fisk winning stands at 52.0%, based on resolution by the official ISCO Championship results. Watch for the tournament conclusion on July 12, 2026, when the final scores are tallied and the champion is determined.
Each golfer's market resolves to Yes if that golfer wins the ISCO Championship. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, Tournament Winner markets resolve to No, while Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets resolve to Fair Market Value.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus on outcome probability. This market aggregates the collective judgment of thousands of independent traders with real money at stake, which can reveal insights sportsbooks may not immediately price in. Comparing the two can highlight where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking, though both sources offer valuable perspectives on championship likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order matching, where traders submit bids and asks that reflect their belief in each potential winner. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome contract moves based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating stronger trader conviction. Liquidity providers help narrow spreads, making it easier to enter or exit positions. As new developments unfold, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift in real time and creating opportunities for those who anticipate market moves.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the championship concludes and the winner is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verifying the official result against credible public sources covering the event. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable sports reporting as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market will settle. Early resolution is possible if the outcome becomes mathematically certain or officially confirmed before the scheduled end date.
Key catalysts for this market include athlete performance updates, injury announcements, roster changes, and recent tournament results. Media coverage highlighting contenders' form or momentum can shift trader expectations significantly. Unexpected upsets or dominant performances in qualifying rounds often trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, or rule changes may also influence championship odds. Traders should follow official league communications, athlete social media, and sports journalism to stay ahead of market-moving developments leading up to the championship.