TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Israeli Premier League. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude without a clear winner. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extended periods.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Ironi Tiberias vs Be'er Sheva match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Ironi Tiberias or Be'er Sheva markets occurs only if that specific team wins within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves positively if neither team secures a win after regulation. If the match is canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets will settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. These rules apply uniformly across all three outcome-based markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, while this market's prices are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event happening, and can be influenced by external factors and new information leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Ironi Tiberias and Be`er Sheva as reported by official league sources. The final score and winning team will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and the amounts paid will be based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather conditions or significant tactical shifts announced by either team could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other relevant matches or broader changes in team performance throughout the season could indirectly affect the perceived probabilities. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.