TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential match disruptions such as cancellations or significant rescheduling.
The event determines the winner of a Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, between Ironi Modiin and Maccabi Bney Reine, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Ironi Modiin, a win for Maccabi Bney Reine, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see this market incorporate information and analysis that isn't immediately reflected in sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Ironi Modiin and Maccabi Bney Reine. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match will affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will ultimately be determined by the officially recorded result of the game as reported by recognized sports authorities.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching staff or significant changes in team lineups would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 23, 2026 resolution.