TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a women's FIFA World Cup qualifier between Ireland and Kazakhstan, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win or if the match will end in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Ireland vs Kazakhstan women's FIFA World Cup qualifier scheduled for October 13, 2026, after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Ireland win, Kazakhstan win, or a tie—all determined purely within regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s also possible that differing information or analysis is driving the divergence in probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome in the Ireland vs Kazakhstan match, and it’s constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Ireland vs Kazakhstan match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the regulation time moneyline – meaning the winner of the match after 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The platform will verify the final result against official sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner and trigger settlement of the contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, could drive price movements. Finally, any late-breaking news related to player form or team morale could impact the perceived probabilities and cause the market to react.