TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a women's soccer match between Ireland and Kazakhstan in the first round of the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers. It focuses on which team progresses following the match. The event reflects competitive international play in qualifiers for a major tournament.
The market resolves based on which national team advances after their head-to-head match in the specified qualifying round. If Ireland progresses, the 'Ireland advances' outcome settles as Yes, and the 'Kazakhstan advances' outcome settles as No. Conversely, if Kazakhstan progresses, the 'Kazakhstan advances' outcome settles as Yes, and the 'Ireland advances' outcome settles as No. All references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are used descriptively and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with FIFA. The resolution depends solely on the official match result and advancement status as determined by the governing football body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, as traders can quickly adjust their positions based on developing news and analysis surrounding the Ireland vs Kazakhstan match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to dynamic price discovery. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ireland vs Kazakhstan match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and fulfill all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Ireland or Kazakhstan could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue or major upsets in related matches could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could cause noticeable price movements, as traders react to new information or adjust their positions based on evolving analysis of the Ireland vs Kazakhstan match.