TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between Namibia and Ireland scheduled for October 30 2026 at 3:30 AM ET in Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs.
This market refers to the cricket match between Namibia and Ireland scheduled for October 30 2026 at 3:30 AM ET in Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and historical performance, while this market adjusts dynamically based on the collective insights of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of player form, weather conditions, or even subtle news events influencing perceived probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect the true likelihood of an event as it approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately assess probabilities and profit from discrepancies. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the results of the Ireland-Namibia ODI series are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the relevant sporting authorities. The market will determine which outcome – if any – aligns with the final series result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive series results to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could also move the market. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in preceding matches, even those outside of this series, could influence trader sentiment. Major upsets or particularly dominant performances in early matches of the series will almost certainly affect the odds. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly factored into the market, can indirectly influence trader behavior.