TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming English Premier League soccer match between Ipswich Town and Fulham. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent, rather than just who wins. Outcomes depend on the size of the goal difference after regulation time.
The event evaluates different goal-difference thresholds for both teams in a single soccer match. Four distinct outcomes exist based on the margin of victory: Ipswich Town winning by more than 2.5 goals, Ipswich Town winning by more than 1.5 goals, Fulham winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Fulham winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions occur only after the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. The market exclusively addresses regulatory-time results, and all outcomes are independent — only the specific condition met resolves to 'Yes,' while all others resolve to 'No.' Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Ipswich Town vs Fulham match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread of the Ipswich Town vs Fulham match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price dynamically adjusts, offering a real-time assessment of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Ipswich Town vs Fulham match, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the final, official result of the match and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ipswich Town or Fulham would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also shift the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market.