TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional EFL Championship soccer match between Ipswich Town FC and Millwall FC scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, including win conditions for each team and draw outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure incompatibility between platforms. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with distinct cancellation logic for draw outcomes, while Kalshi uses a single three-outcome market with no explicit cancellation clause.Hero Tip:
Traders holding positions across both platforms face basis risk. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation (no makeup game), but Kalshi's cancellation behavior is unspecified. Verify cancellation protocols with each platform and consider the draw outcome as a potential divergence point if the match is postponed indefinitely.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three independent binary markets. Millwall Win market: resolves Yes if Millwall wins, No otherwise. Ipswich Win market: resolves Yes if Ipswich wins, No otherwise. Draw market: resolves Yes if draw, No otherwise. Cancellation with no makeup: Win markets resolve No, but Draw market resolves Yes. Resolution source: Official EFL statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.Kalshi:
Single three-outcome market covering Ipswich Win, Millwall Win, and Tie. Each outcome resolves to Yes if it occurs. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Resolution source: Official EFL Championship records after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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