TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Iowa versus Washington college football game will exceed 40.5. Currently, the probability of the game scoring over 40.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the Iowa versus Washington game, as defined by whether the teams collectively score more than 21.5 points, with the resolution source being the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve following the conclusion of the originally scheduled game on October 9, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of October 10, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Iowa vs Washington college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. For each market, if the combined points scored by both teams exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold they selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing beliefs about the likely outcome of the Iowa vs Washington game, or that one venue has absorbed more informed trading activity than the other. It’s worth comparing to see where you find value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the Iowa vs Washington game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the game’s likely total points. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the final score falls within a specific range.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Iowa vs Washington game, as officially recorded by the governing sports authority, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and any adjustments made by the relevant governing body will be reflected in the final outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points range will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Iowa or Washington would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the scoring environment. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, can also play a role, as can the release of updated statistical projections for both teams. These signals all contribute to the evolving assessment of the likely total points scored.