TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:00 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Washington, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Washington, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to be more efficient and reflects the true probabilities as perceived by participants. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, potentially creating differences in the implied probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates diverse perspectives, leading to a probability assessment that can differ from initial expectations or expert opinions. The current price movements indicate how traders are interpreting available data and adjusting their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iowa vs. Washington game, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It's important to monitor the event's progress and stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related games or shifts in public perception could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.