TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:34 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the second half of an upcoming college football game between Iowa and Washington. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. The outcomes depend solely on the points scored after halftime, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second half (including overtime) of the Iowa vs Washington college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed the stated threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored after halftime count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on internal models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the possible results, though it's important to remember they are driven by different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final total points scored in the second half. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system, unlike fixed-odds betting typically found elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second half of the Iowa vs Washington game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract will pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for the resolution of this market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Iowa or Washington would likely cause significant movement, as it impacts expected scoring. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Even late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to perceived advantages.