TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Iowa will win its college football game against Washington. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Iowa winning the game, as determined by the official results reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. The outcome will be resolved following the completion of the game, including any overtime periods. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET, as the result of this contest will directly determine the market’s resolution.
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Washington, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, this market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there’s significant uncertainty or information not yet priced into the sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or risk assessments among bettors and traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Iowa vs. Washington game. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The higher the price of a share, the more likely the market believes that outcome will happen.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iowa vs. Washington game, as reported by a widely recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Iowa or Washington teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to heavily influence the game, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant news about team strategies, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through polls or expert analysis could all contribute to fluctuations in trading volume and price adjustments in this market.