TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Northwestern wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Northwestern wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:10h:52m
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This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Iowa vs Northwestern college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For markets specifying 'Northwestern wins by over X points,' resolution occurs if Northwestern's victory margin exceeds the stated threshold. Conversely, markets stating 'Iowa wins by over X points' resolve if Iowa's margin of victory surpasses the designated amount. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, determined independently of the original outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all referenced trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they aggregate a wider range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they differ significantly from the consensus in this market, presenting potential arbitrage opportunities for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Iowa versus Northwestern game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will assess whether Iowa wins by more than the spread defined in the contracts offered on Kalshi. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the Iowa-Northwestern spread market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would updates on team strategy or coaching changes. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also impact the market, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing or running. Finally, large shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also lead to changes in trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.