TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:01h:45m
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This group covers various markets related to the Iowa vs. Northwestern college football game scheduled for November 7th. Markets include the winner of the game, point spreads, over/under totals for points scored, and various player/team statistics.
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Northwestern, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the originally scheduled game on Nov 7, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Northwestern, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those available on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, leading to a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. Sportsbooks may be influenced by factors like public bias or the desire to balance their book, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their assessment of the game’s outcome. However, differences can still exist due to varying liquidity and market participants.
Prices for the Iowa-Northwestern football game may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and market-making dynamics, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific contracts offered on each platform—such as different spread options—can lead to price discrepancies. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally indicates greater price efficiency. These differences present opportunities for arbitrage traders to profit from price inconsistencies across venues.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Iowa-Northwestern football game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results and will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event’s conclusion and subsequent market settlement.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Iowa or Northwestern teams would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts, such as a severe storm, could also impact the market. Major news regarding team morale, coaching changes, or significant strategic adjustments could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate informed traders taking positions based on new information, leading to price fluctuations.