TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential in the final quarter of a college football game, reflecting how strongly either team performs in the closing moments. Outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the 4th quarter, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the 4th quarter of the Iowa vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. If Iowa wins the game, markets specifying Iowa victories resolve to Yes if the point differential meets or exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., over 10.5 points). Conversely, if Minnesota wins, markets specifying Minnesota victories resolve to Yes if their point differential meets or exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., over 7.5 points). Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Contract prices move based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price of those contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the 4th quarter of the Iowa vs Minnesota game will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of the winning spread. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Iowa or Minnesota teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking weather forecasts or unexpected developments leading up to the game could cause traders to reassess the probabilities and adjust their positions, leading to price movements in this market.