TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either Iowa or Minnesota wins the second half of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a win.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Iowa vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For Iowa markets, resolution occurs if Iowa wins the second half by more than the specified point margin; for Minnesota markets, resolution occurs if Minnesota wins the second half by more than the specified margin. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation with the NCAA is claimed, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small group of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of various outcomes in the Iowa-Minnesota game, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s expectation of whether the actual second-half spread will fall on the favorable or unfavorable side of that spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they can profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more contracts bought or sold at a particular spread, the more confidence the market has in that outcome occurring for the Iowa-Minnesota football spread.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final second-half point spread of the Iowa-Minnesota football game will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Iowa or Minnesota would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Even public polling data or expert analysis, if it deviates significantly from the current market price, might lead to adjustments in the Iowa-Minnesota football spread.