TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Minnesota will win its college football game against Iowa. Currently, Kalshi gives Minnesota a 66.0% probability of winning, while Iowa is at 35.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the Iowa vs Minnesota game, as determined by the game’s final score, with any postponements within 48 hours of the original start time still counting towards resolution. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 23, 2026, as the outcome of that contest will determine the market’s resolution on October 24, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the Iowa vs Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, leading to odds that may diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news than traditional sportsbooks, offering a potentially different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations for the Iowa vs Minnesota game. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Iowa vs Minnesota game. The specific details regarding the winning team and final score will be sourced from official game results. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential impacts.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all influence trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and cause noticeable movements in the odds for the Iowa vs Minnesota game. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market shifts.