TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:03 AM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Iowa State vs. BYU.
Exact margin markets for Iowa State vs. BYU.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to contribute their insights, potentially leading to different probability assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to varying levels of information, differing analytical approaches, or simply the influence of public sentiment. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or late-developing information regarding team conditions or injuries.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different point differentials in the Iowa State vs. BYU game. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that specific margin occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the most likely outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, with traders acting on their own analysis and information to establish a consensus view on the game's final score difference.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential between Iowa State and BYU, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning shares. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the completion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and the shares they hold in the winning outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or illnesses for either Iowa State or BYU would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could signal a change in market sentiment and drive price movements.