TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:18 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and Arizona, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and Arizona, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge as more information becomes available and as bettors place wagers. It's common to see prediction markets reflect public sentiment and potentially identify discrepancies in sportsbook pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, injuries, and other factors impacting the perceived likelihood of each team winning the Iowa State vs. Arizona game. The higher the demand for shares representing a particular outcome, the higher the price will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Iowa State vs. Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning team, and that result will be reflected in the market’s settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their shares. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Iowa State or Arizona teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Major coaching announcements or changes in team strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant changes in public perception based on expert analysis, could also lead to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.