TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iowa State Cyclones vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)
Volume:
$307,129
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Iowa State Cyclones and TCU Horned Frogs scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the completed game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (TCU win and Iowa State win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi contract in its current form. The resolution logic is broken—it violates the basic principle that a binary market must have two distinct, mutually exclusive outcomes. Contact Kalshi support for clarification or correction. Polymarket is the only viable trading venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Iowa State victory resolves to Iowa State Cyclones; TCU victory resolves to TCU Horned Frogs. Postponement extends market; total cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Kalshi: Defective dual-Yes mapping. Both TCU win and Iowa State win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility in a binary market. Quote: If TCU wins...resolves to Yes. If Iowa St. wins...resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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