TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Iowa State and BYU during the second quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses exclusively on the scoring differential within that specific quarter, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Iowa State and BYU exclusively during the second quarter of play in their college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets cover a range of victory margins for both teams, from narrow leads of over 2.5 points to larger margins exceeding 10.5 points. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust their positions based on information and analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to note that this market represents predictions, and sportsbook odds represent actual payouts based on the event's outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter of the Iowa State vs BYU game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly updating their predictions, and the market price adjusts accordingly. The more contracts bought for a specific spread, the higher its price becomes, indicating increased confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Iowa State vs BYU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports organization. All contracts will be settled based on whether the actual spread falls within the range defined by the purchased contracts. The platform will then distribute payouts to winning contract holders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Iowa State or BYU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift predictions. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.