TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both Iowa State and BYU in the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, determining whether the combined score exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Iowa State vs BYU college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, 7.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 1st quarter total. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the actual 1st quarter total falls within the contract's range.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual total points scored in the first quarter of the Iowa State vs BYU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that payouts are made accurately based on the verified results of the game. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Iowa State or BYU would likely have a significant impact, as it affects scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived advantages.