TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Baylor over 9.5 points
- Kalshi
Baylor over 9.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:17h:35m
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This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Participants can speculate on whether a team will exceed various scoring thresholds, allowing for detailed analysis of potential game outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Iowa State and Baylor in their college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold points, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing analytical approaches or simply because the prediction market aggregates a wider spectrum of opinions than a single sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a team will score over or under a specified point total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price dynamically adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the expected team totals. The current top market on Kalshi is for Baylor over 19.5 points scored.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether each team exceeded or fell short of the point totals established in the market contracts. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Iowa State or Baylor would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public perception shifts based on expert analysis, could all contribute to changes in the market prices leading up to Nov 7, 2026.