TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Baylor wins by over 7.5 points
- Kalshi
Baylor wins by over 7.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:21h:47m
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This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to bet on the exact margin of victory for either team. The contest hinges on the final score difference, with specific thresholds defining each possible resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Iowa St. vs Baylor college football game scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. If Baylor wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold—for example, more than 27.5, 24.5, or any lower incremental point difference—the corresponding "Yes" outcome triggers. Conversely, if Iowa St. wins by a margin exceeding its listed thresholds—such as over 1.5, 2.5, up to 14.5 points—the respective "Yes" outcome activates. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the updated final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the likelihood of each outcome given available information up to that point. The contest explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all team-related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs and information. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate at forecasting event outcomes than traditional methods, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds still represent a significant benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the final point spread of the Iowa State versus Baylor football game as determined by official game statistics. The final point spread will be compared to the contracts traded on Kalshi to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 7, 2026. Significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could all shift expectations. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions are also a key catalyst. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls and media coverage, can also play a role, even if it doesn't directly correlate with the actual outcome. Any substantial shift in these areas could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.