TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different scoring threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of offensive performance by either team.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by each team in the Iowa St. vs Arizona college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each individual market has a specific point threshold for each team; if the team's actual score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are initially set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and marketing considerations, while this market is driven purely by individuals putting their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of various outcomes in this contest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, and the market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, offering a unique perspective on the potential team totals.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Iowa State and Arizona will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total points scored by both teams during the game, as determined by the official box score. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct team total range will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Iowa State or Arizona would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also impact predictions. Furthermore, late-breaking news about weather conditions, if the game is outdoors, or significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on evolving information.