TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Iowa St. vs Arizona college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Arizona scores first, Iowa St. scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and perceived biases, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd and the experts diverge in their assessments of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first touchdown in the Iowa State versus Arizona game will determine the winning outcome of this market. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result and subsequent market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Iowa State or Arizona would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also move the market. Finally, large volume trades by individual participants on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price fluctuations as traders react to new information or express strong convictions.