TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Iowa State or Arizona in the second half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the second half, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Iowa St. vs Arizona college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold defined in each individual market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread conditions outlined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable when forming your own informed opinion about the likely outcome of the Iowa State vs Arizona game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the second half spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price rises, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving you an idea of how much volume is available at each spread. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the Iowa State vs Arizona game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Iowa State or Arizona teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking analysis from sports commentators or updated statistical models could influence trader sentiment and move the price. Public betting patterns and large volume trades on Kalshi are also key signals to watch.