TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Iowa State and Arizona. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the rest of the game’s outcome. The result depends on whether Arizona, Iowa State, or neither team (in case of a tie) scores more points in that initial period.
If Arizona wins the 1st quarter of the Iowa St. vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa St. wins the 1st quarter of the Iowa St. vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Iowa St. vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches, as more information becomes available and is incorporated into the price. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable context when evaluating this market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first quarter of the Iowa State vs Arizona game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official results reported by the governing body of the game, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Iowa State or Arizona teams would likely impact the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause shifts in market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role in shaping the price of contracts in this market.