TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two soccer teams in a scheduled match. It focuses on the margin of victory, reflecting how decisively one team outperforms the other within the standard match timeframe. Outcomes are determined by the difference in goals scored after the full 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential between Internacional and Corinthians in their professionally scheduled Brasileiro Serie A soccer match for October 7, 2026. Victory margins are evaluated strictly after the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct outcome thresholds exist: Internacional winning by more than 2.5 goals, Internacional winning by more than 1.5 goals, Corinthians winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Corinthians winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market independently assesses its specific threshold, meaning a single match result can satisfy multiple market conditions simultaneously. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are often set by analysts who may have biases or limitations in their models. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of many individuals, which can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly before the event, as the market digests news and adjusts expectations. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Internacional vs Corinthians match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Internacional vs Corinthians match, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on this verified result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress and the official results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 8, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Internacional or Corinthians would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also move the market. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage leading up to the match can play a role in shaping expectations and driving trading activity in this market.