TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Internacional and Botafogo. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the collective attacking performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Internacional vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The resolution considers only goals scored within regular time, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks, logos, and brand names.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market benefits from the insights of many participants. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event occurring, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and efficient market, providing a valuable signal of potential outcomes based on the aggregated knowledge of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Internacional vs Botafogo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, determining the total number of goals scored by both teams during regulation time. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of determining the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Internacional or Botafogo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable soccer analysts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway market sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity itself, driven by new information or simply shifts in opinion, will naturally cause the odds to fluctuate.