TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a major league. The result is determined solely by the standing after the standard playing time, excluding any extended periods. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will be managed according to specific fairness guidelines.
The event determines the result of the Internacional vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, based solely on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Internacional, a win for Botafogo, or a tie. If the match ends with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome will fall on Kalshi, making it a potentially valuable opportunity. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information surfaces.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Internacional vs Botafogo match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome. The goal is to find mispriced contracts – those where you believe the market is under or overestimating the true probability.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Internacional vs Botafogo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, including any potential extra time or penalty shootouts, as reported by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Significant betting patterns observed elsewhere, or even influential analysts releasing their predictions, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also play a role, as could major events affecting the overall confidence in either team’s performance.