TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Colombian soccer teams, Internacional de Bogota and Ind. Medellin, face off in a league game where a victory for either side determines the market outcome based on the final score after regulation time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Internacional de Bogota vs Ind. Medellin professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. A win for Internacional de Bogota resolves the 'Internacional de Bogota' market to Yes; a win for Ind. Medellin resolves the 'Ind. Medellin' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. The resolution considers the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours after the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. It's important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to assess where the perceived value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Bogota vs Medellin match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market depth and spread can also indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bogota vs Medellin match as declared by the governing sporting body. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process to ensure a fair and accurate outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also impact trader behavior. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market. Any major developments related to either team will likely be reflected in the price action.