TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Inter will win its Champions League soccer match against Shakhtar after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Inter a 58.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 29.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Inter vs Shakhtar professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, as determined by the official match result. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 21, 2026, to see if early play confirms or challenges the current expectations for an Inter victory.
The event resolves based on the result of the Inter vs Shakhtar professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for October 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Inter wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Inter' market resolves to Yes. If Shakhtar wins under the same conditions, the 'Shakhtar' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the event rules. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially outperforming traditional odds-making in certain situations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price of a contract indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result of the Inter vs Shakhtar match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Inter vs Shakhtar match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will then determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result and allocate payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in their preceding matches, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed through media coverage can all play a role. Major upsets in other related matches or significant changes in betting patterns could also contribute to volatility in this market.