TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee at the end of each half. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this standard match duration.
If Inter and Parma Calcio both score a goal in the Inter vs Parma Calcio Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, but these can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, however, allows traders to continuously update the probability based on new information and diverse perspectives. While sportsbooks may offer different odds based on their margins and biases, the price on Kalshi represents a collective assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Inter and Parma will score during the match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by news, team form, injuries, and other relevant factors. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Inter and Parma score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added injury or stoppage time. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the final outcome of this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the result is verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Inter or Parma would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Tactical announcements from either manager, particularly regarding attacking lineups or strategies, could also impact the probability of both teams scoring. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially affecting the game's overall scoring potential.