TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:38 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the margin of victory, specifically whether Inter or Fiorentina wins by a certain number of goals. The varying thresholds indicate different degrees of dominance, providing insight into potential mismatches or closely contested phases of the game.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Inter vs Fiorentina professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, counting only those scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Two markets concern Inter winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, while the other two cover Fiorentina winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by the required margin; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more information becomes available and the event approaches, the prediction market odds often become more accurate than those found at traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more refined probability assessment of the final spread in the Inter vs Fiorentina match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time indication of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what a trader would need to pay to hold a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Inter vs Fiorentina match as officially recorded by the governing sports authority. The market will determine which outcome—Inter wins by more than the spread, Fiorentina wins by more than the spread, or a tie—is the correct one, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Inter or Fiorentina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in analysis from sports commentators or updated sportsbook odds, could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.