TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:36 AM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a soccer match between two teams in a league competition. It focuses on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added at the end of each half. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this standard match duration.
If Inter and Fiorentina both score a goal in the Inter vs Fiorentina Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns aimed at balancing their book. This market, however, is driven by individuals making predictions and trading based on their own analysis. As a result, the odds on Kalshi can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Inter vs Fiorentina match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more traders who believe both teams will score, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether both Inter and Fiorentina score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the result will receive their payout based on the final contract price at resolution. The outcome is determined by the actual game result, not by any subjective judgment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Inter or Fiorentina would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or changes in coaching strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, general football news and analysis, as well as any public statements from players or managers, could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts on Kalshi.