TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Canadian Premier League. The result is determined by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers all possible outcomes of the match, including a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Inter Toronto vs Cavalry professional Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Inter Toronto resolves the 'Inter Toronto' market to Yes; a win for Cavalry resolves the 'Cavalry' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from its resolution criteria.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can highlight areas where the market anticipates a different result than conventional wisdom suggests.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s implied probability. As more traders buy into a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current top outcome is unavailable, and the chance percentage is unavailable.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Inter Toronto vs Cavalry match as reported by official league sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources as the event concludes to understand the final result and how it impacts this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also play a role. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.