TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:30 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, which influences the payouts. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is likely, the odds will reflect that, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines that may be influenced by other factors like public betting patterns or risk management strategies. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when informed traders participate.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price, allowing for continuous trading and price discovery. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities based on the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Inter Miami vs. NYCFC match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that data. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payouts based on the odds at the time of their trade.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Inter Miami or NYCFC would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Major tactical changes announced by either team's coach could also impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts, could also move the market. Overall team form and recent performance in other matches will also be closely watched by traders, potentially leading to adjustments in the probabilities.