TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:30 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market concerns the outcome of the second half of an MLS soccer match between Inter Miami CF and D.C. United SC. Participants are predicting which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the two teams will score the same number of goals (a draw).
In the upcoming MLS game between Inter Miami CF and D.C. United SC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF score more goals than D.C. United SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Inter Miami CF and D.C. United SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC score more goals than Inter Miami CF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Inter Miami CF and D.C. United SC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF score more goals than D.C. United SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Inter Miami CF and D.C. United SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC score more goals than Inter Miami CF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individual bettors. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets are less susceptible to biases introduced by bookmakers. For this market, the implied probabilities from prediction markets may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information sources and participant motivations. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Inter Miami vs. D.C. United match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more accurate price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed odds. These differences highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple prediction markets.